Ariza vs Rivas AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
61.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ATE
0 - 3
ARI
82%
12%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
ARI
0 - 2
GAL
8%
14%
78%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ARI
0 - 1
AGR
57%
21%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
OLV
3 - 2
ARI
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ARI
0 - 1
BOR
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rivas AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
RIV
1 - 3
EPI
62%
19%
20%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 2
RIV
47%
21%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
RIV
0 - 2
TOR
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
LUC
2 - 0
RIV
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
RIV
2 - 0
TAU
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |