Ariza vs Monreal CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+129%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
OLV
3 - 3
ARI
39%
23%
38%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ARI
4 - 1
BIO
78%
14%
9%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 2
NOV
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
RIC
2 - 2
ARI
29%
22%
50%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ARI
3 - 1
GOT
80%
13%
8%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Monreal CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
SAD
20%
22%
58%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 1
MON
32%
22%
46%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
PRA
33%
22%
45%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
OLV
3 - 1
MON
53%
22%
26%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
BIO
75%
15%
11%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |