Ariza vs Monreal CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+178%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PRA
0 - 2
ARI
22%
20%
58%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ARI
0 - 0
RIC
58%
19%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 2
ARI
23%
19%
58%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ARI
5 - 0
TAU
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
AGR
3 - 2
ARI
26%
20%
54%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Monreal CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
OLV
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
EUR
0 - 1
MON
46%
24%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CDC
2 - 1
MON
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MON
5 - 1
SAA
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MON
6 - 4
RIV
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |