Aris Thessaloniki vs AE Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
APS
0 - 1
ARI
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ARI
2 - 0
TRI
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 1
PAN
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 1
AEK
26%
27%
48%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 0
ARI
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
AE Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 0
LAR
68%
21%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PAO
5 - 0
LAR
83%
13%
5%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 1
APS
31%
29%
41%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
PAN
2 - 0
LAR
71%
20%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 0
GIA
12%
22%
67%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |