Ariquemes vs Gênus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariquemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
ARI
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
ARI
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ARI
0 - 2
RDA
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ROL
0 - 2
ARI
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
ARI
14%
20%
66%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 0
ASA
16%
23%
61%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ROL
0 - 3
GEN
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 2
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
GEN
10%
17%
73%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | 0 |