Ariana FC vs Jönköpings Södra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
55.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
9º
8º
45
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 62 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 62 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 56 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 50 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 40 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 36 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 32 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 31 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
30.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 22 |
16º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 35% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SKO
0 - 1
AFC
51%
23%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ANG
0 - 0
AFC
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 3
ROS
36%
23%
41%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
FAL
1 - 0
AFC
71%
17%
13%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
OLY
0 - 1
AFC
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Jönköpings Södra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
JON
2 - 0
LBK
40%
25%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
JON
0 - 0
ORG
21%
22%
57%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ORE
3 - 0
JON
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 3
JON
30%
24%
46%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
JON
0 - 0
OSK
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |