Arguineguín vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arguineguín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 1
ARG
69%
19%
12%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
ARG
3 - 0
SPM
33%
27%
41%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
UDS
2 - 2
ARG
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
ARG
0 - 0
UDG
31%
24%
45%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
UDL
0 - 2
ARG
42%
24%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2018 |
UDS
8 - 2
COS
89%
8%
3%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
COS
3 - 4
UDB
7%
15%
77%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
TEL
5 - 1
COS
44%
22%
34%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
COS
1 - 5
UDG
11%
17%
72%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
CER
4 - 0
COS
79%
13%
8%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |