Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . 1/16
Global 3-3
Argentinos 25 de Mayo vs El Porvenir SCT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos 25 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
ARG
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 0
FRR
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
ARG
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FRR
1 - 0
ARG
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ARG
3 - 2
SAR
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
El Porvenir SCT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
ARG
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
KIM
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
SAD
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AYA
1 - 1
POR
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
KIM
1 - 0
POR
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |