Arevalo CF vs UD Serranillos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arevalo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PEB
3 - 9
ARE
19%
18%
63%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARE
5 - 2
FCN
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ARE
6 - 2
ARE
74%
14%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PIE
4 - 2
ARE
66%
17%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ARE
4 - 4
NAV
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Serranillos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SER
3 - 0
ARE
77%
14%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SER
3 - 1
PIE
20%
19%
62%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
NAV
51%
21%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SER
6 - 0
PEB
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SER
3 - 2
FCN
64%
18%
19%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |