Aretxabaleta vs Zarautz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aretxabaleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 3
ATX
14%
20%
67%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ATX
1 - 0
CDT
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ZAR
2 - 3
ATX
29%
26%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ATX
1 - 0
OST
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ATX
2 - 1
REA
57%
23%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zarautz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ALÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BKE
1 - 3
ZAR
33%
27%
41%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ZAR
2 - 3
ATX
29%
26%
46%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
REA
2 - 3
ZAR
50%
25%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ZAR
2 - 0
BTG
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |