Arenas de Frajanas vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+137%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Frajanas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BEZ
2 - 1
ARE
50%
25%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ARE
2 - 2
ESC
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
ARE
42%
26%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ARE
3 - 3
SIE
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SEL
2 - 2
ARE
58%
23%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
GAM
43%
27%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
CAS
40%
27%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 3
CAY
22%
26%
52%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 0
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TEX
2 - 0
CAS
49%
25%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |