Arema FC vs Persiraja Banda Aceh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+2%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ARE
1 - 1
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
ARE
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
ARE
1 - 0
PER
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
PSI
0 - 0
ARE
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
ARE
2 - 0
PSS
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Persiraja Banda Aceh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PBA
0 - 3
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
PBA
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
PBA
2 - 2
PER
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
PER
0 - 0
PBA
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
PBA
0 - 1
PSI
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |