Ards FC vs Omagh Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
GLE
1 - 2
ARD
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
LIN
2 - 2
ARD
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 0
ARD
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
ARD
0 - 0
LIM
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
COL
4 - 1
ARD
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Omagh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
LIS
1 - 2
OMA
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
OMA
1 - 3
LIN
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
LIM
3 - 2
OMA
30%
25%
44%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2004 |
OMA
0 - 3
INS
57%
22%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
LAR
1 - 2
OMA
39%
26%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |