Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
ARD
0 - 0
CRU
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
GLE
3 - 0
ARD
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
ARD
0 - 0
CLI
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
COL
3 - 1
ARD
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
ARD
1 - 2
LIN
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
INS
0 - 1
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
CLI
1 - 3
INS
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
INS
0 - 1
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
LIS
1 - 1
INS
50%
24%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
INS
2 - 1
CRU
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |