Ards FC vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 1
BAL
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
ARD
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 4
GLE
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
ARD
4 - 2
WAR
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 0
ARD
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DUN
4 - 2
WAR
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
GLE
4 - 2
DUN
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 2
DUN
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
WAR
3 - 0
DUN
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -4 |