Ards FC vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARD
26%
24%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ARD
0 - 2
AUN
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
ARD
1 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
ARD
1 - 4
CLI
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
ARD
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
DER
0 - 2
AUN
35%
25%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
INS
1 - 1
DER
37%
24%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DER
2 - 0
DUN
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
LOU
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |