Ards FC vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
PSN
1 - 4
ARD
51%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LIS
1 - 3
ARD
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
ARD
1 - 1
BAN
34%
25%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 1
ARD
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
ARD
75%
15%
9%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
DER
2 - 1
DUN
19%
19%
62%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
ARC
20%
22%
59%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BAN
4 - 1
DER
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LIS
2 - 0
DER
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DER
1 - 5
BAL
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |