Ards FC vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ARD
0 - 1
BAN
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ARD
1 - 1
LIM
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 3
ARD
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
ARD
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
ARD
1 - 2
LOU
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
DER
0 - 1
BAL
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 3
DER
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
DER
5 - 0
LOU
52%
23%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GLE
0 - 2
DER
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 2
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |