Ardennen vs Maldegem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
13º
7º
42
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
92% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
|
9º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
75% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 37 |
13º
|
94.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardennen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
ARD
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ARD
4 - 1
ANV
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 0
DRO
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LDO
2 - 0
ARD
28%
22%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ARD
2 - 1
KSC
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Maldegem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
WET
6 - 0
MAL
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 3
MAL
7%
12%
81%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 1
MAL
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
JON
2 - 1
MAL
62%
20%
17%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
LOC
4 - 1
MAL
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |