Årdal vs Sogndal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
74%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Årdal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ARD
3 - 1
LAR
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ARD
0 - 1
BJA
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SSK
0 - 2
ARD
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ARD
3 - 4
VIL
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TTI
3 - 3
ARD
49%
22%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sogndal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SOG
1 - 3
STR
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BOG
4 - 2
SOG
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SOG
1 - 1
S08
34%
26%
39%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
STB
3 - 0
SOG
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SOG
1 - 2
ELP
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |