Ardagger vs Zwettl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
11º
1º
49
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SCR
0 - 1
ARD
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ARD
7 - 0
MAN
79%
15%
7%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPR
0 - 0
ARD
11%
19%
70%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 0
STP
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SVG
0 - 3
ARD
79%
16%
6%
|
28 | 67 | 39 | +3 |
Matches
Zwettl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
ZWE
1 - 0
WAI
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ZWE
2 - 0
ASV
55%
20%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SVH
0 - 1
ZWE
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ZWE
0 - 1
SCO
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
KOT
0 - 2
ZWE
67%
20%
13%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |