Ardagger vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
SVR
1 - 2
ARD
33%
26%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 2
ASV
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 1
ARD
8%
16%
76%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SPR
1 - 0
ARD
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ARD
4 - 0
LAN
67%
21%
13%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
SCO
2 - 1
SVR
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 1
SCO
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
SCO
9%
15%
76%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SCO
1 - 0
SPR
56%
21%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 2
SCO
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |