Ardagger vs Mistelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
STP
3 - 1
ARD
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
ARD
3 - 0
GAF
31%
24%
44%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 4
ARD
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ARD
2 - 1
SCR
20%
23%
57%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ARD
1 - 2
SCH
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
MIS
0 - 3
LAN
39%
25%
37%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STP
2 - 0
MIS
71%
16%
12%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MIS
1 - 4
WUR
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
SVS
2 - 2
MIS
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
KOT
4 - 0
MIS
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |