Ardagger vs Dornbirn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 0
ARD
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ARD
2 - 0
WAI
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
ARD
0 - 1
LAN
57%
23%
21%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
STP
4 - 2
ARD
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
ARD
0 - 0
WUR
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dornbirn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2012 |
DOR
3 - 0
SVA
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
SEE
0 - 3
DOR
19%
23%
59%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
DOR
5 - 1
TSV
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
STJ
2 - 2
DOR
24%
25%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
DOR
0 - 1
WAT
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |