Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
FKV
1 - 3
ARK
31%
28%
42%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ARK
3 - 1
BER
34%
28%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
FCT
0 - 0
ARK
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
ARK
0 - 0
BOT
33%
27%
41%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
SSO
2 - 0
ARK
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
LPL
0 - 1
STR
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
LPL
1 - 1
LUD
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
TNV
3 - 1
LPL
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
BVR
1 - 4
LPL
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
LPL
2 - 0
TNV
41%
25%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |