Arcos vs Abejar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+183%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TAR
1 - 0
ARC
85%
11%
4%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ARC
0 - 0
QUI
17%
20%
63%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
ARC
82%
11%
7%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ARC
0 - 3
VAL
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
EST
6 - 1
ARC
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
4 - 6
LAN
8%
15%
77%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COV
1 - 1
ABE
39%
24%
37%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
CAS
30%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GOL
4 - 0
ABE
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 3
VIS
16%
19%
64%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |