Arcade vs Salvatierra SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+146%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 0
ARC
26%
23%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ARC
4 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MOS
1 - 1
ARC
29%
24%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
ARC
20%
22%
58%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ARC
2 - 0
LGU
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Salvatierra SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
SAL
0 - 3
UMI
12%
20%
68%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAL
64%
19%
17%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 0
GON
32%
24%
44%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
DOM
3 - 1
SAL
50%
22%
29%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SAL
0 - 2
PON
10%
18%
72%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | -1 |