Arcade vs U.D. Mos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LGU
3 - 4
ARC
44%
22%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ARC
5 - 1
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ERI
1 - 3
ARC
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UMI
5 - 0
ARC
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ARC
3 - 1
CAS
27%
24%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
U.D. Mos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MOS
1 - 3
UMI
23%
24%
53%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
MOS
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 0
GON
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 3
MOS
46%
23%
32%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MOS
1 - 1
PON
28%
24%
48%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |