Arcade vs Moraña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+172%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
PON
0 - 2
ARC
30%
23%
48%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ARC
2 - 1
MAR
14%
19%
68%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
5 - 0
ARC
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 0
CUN
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
ARC
30%
24%
46%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 6
CHA
17%
19%
65%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOR
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
BEL
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
MOR
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
UMI
13%
19%
68%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |