Arcade vs Celta C – Gran Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MOS
1 - 1
ARC
29%
24%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
ARC
20%
22%
58%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ARC
2 - 0
LGU
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ARC
6 - 1
ERI
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ARC
0 - 1
UMI
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Celta C – Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 3
UMI
30%
24%
46%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 1
GRA
29%
24%
47%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 1
GON
74%
16%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DOM
0 - 4
GRA
22%
23%
56%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 2
PON
42%
24%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |