ARC Alphense vs SJC Noordwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
15º
15º
33
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 62 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 55 |
4º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
76% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 45 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
57.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
43% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
56.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
43% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DHS
1 - 1
ARC
27%
21%
52%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ARC
0 - 1
JOS
39%
24%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
ARC
34%
21%
44%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TER
3 - 0
ARC
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 4
PUR
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
SJC Noordwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SJC
1 - 1
PUR
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 0
SJC
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SJC
2 - 1
BOL
75%
14%
11%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SJC
0 - 0
GEM
20%
20%
61%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 2
SJC
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |