ARC Alphense vs Nootdorp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ZWA
1 - 2
ARC
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ARC
0 - 3
ARG
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SCN
2 - 3
ARC
43%
24%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 2
CSW
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 4
ARC
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nootdorp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NOO
4 - 0
VOO
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
HED
1 - 2
NOO
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NOO
3 - 0
FSP
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 2
NOO
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NOO
4 - 2
ZWA
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |