ARC Alphense vs Breukelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 2
ARC
50%
20%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
ARC
6 - 1
VIT
83%
12%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
XER
2 - 4
ARC
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ARC
3 - 1
AAL
76%
15%
10%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 0
ARC
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Breukelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 5
DHS
30%
21%
49%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
BRE
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
BRE
4 - 1
FSP
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +3 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ZWA
1 - 1
BRE
52%
22%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
TEW
2 - 2
BRE
47%
20%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |