Arbroath vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 3
QOS
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ARB
3 - 1
INV
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
INV
3 - 3
ARB
28%
21%
51%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
AYR
2 - 0
ARB
38%
24%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALB
4 - 0
ARB
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AYR
2 - 1
STR
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
QUE
0 - 4
STR
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
STR
1 - 1
QUE
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STR
4 - 1
FOR
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 0
STR
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |