Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DUM
2 - 0
ARB
18%
23%
58%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 1
ARB
28%
25%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ARB
3 - 2
AIR
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
RAI
0 - 1
ARB
40%
26%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ARB
1 - 1
STR
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
STE
1 - 1
BRE
63%
19%
17%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
STR
1 - 1
STE
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
STE
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
STE
1 - 0
MON
33%
26%
40%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
STE
1 - 4
ABE
10%
18%
72%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |