Arbroath vs Partick Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
10º
8º
57
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
COV
1 - 1
ARB
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 2
RAI
35%
29%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
ARB
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ARB
0 - 2
MHE
24%
23%
53%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AYR
2 - 2
ARB
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Partick Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AYR
0 - 1
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GLA
3 - 2
PAR
83%
12%
6%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
COV
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
HAM
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
DUN
41%
24%
35%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |