Arbroath vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
44.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1952 |
ALL
3 - 1
ARB
61%
19%
20%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1952 |
ARB
0 - 5
DUN
36%
22%
42%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1951 |
ALB
5 - 4
ARB
67%
16%
17%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
ARB
2 - 2
STJ
32%
22%
46%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1951 |
CLY
5 - 2
ARB
78%
13%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1952 |
DUN
3 - 4
KIL
63%
18%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1952 |
KIL
3 - 1
ALL
78%
14%
9%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1951 |
KIL
2 - 0
DUM
69%
16%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
KIL
1 - 0
FOR
70%
16%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1951 |
AYR
1 - 2
KIL
71%
15%
14%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |