Arbroath vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
ARB
3 - 2
AYR
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
RAI
3 - 1
ARB
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
EAS
1 - 0
ARB
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
ICT
5 - 1
ARB
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
ARB
1 - 3
PAR
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
FAL
1 - 1
PAR
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
AIR
2 - 1
FAL
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
FOR
1 - 2
FAL
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
RAI
5 - 2
FAL
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2001 |
FAL
0 - 1
CLY
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |