Arbroath vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
ARB
0 - 2
AYR
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
ARB
0 - 2
ICT
37%
24%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
ICT
3 - 2
ARB
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
ROS
0 - 1
ARB
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
ARB
2 - 1
CLY
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
FAL
0 - 1
DUN
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
FAL
1 - 4
PAR
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 1
FAL
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
FAL
0 - 2
AYR
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
STM
1 - 5
FAL
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |