Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
ARB
2 - 3
AIR
51%
21%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
AYR
4 - 2
ARB
75%
14%
11%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1947 |
ARB
5 - 1
STE
60%
19%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1947 |
DUM
4 - 2
ARB
65%
18%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
ARB
1 - 2
STJ
39%
22%
39%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
DUM
1 - 2
AYR
43%
20%
36%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
AIR
8 - 1
DUM
74%
14%
12%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1947 |
DUM
1 - 6
STJ
43%
21%
36%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1947 |
DUM
4 - 2
ARB
65%
18%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
STE
2 - 1
DUM
51%
21%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |