Arbroath vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
AYR
1 - 1
ARB
59%
22%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
ARB
2 - 2
BRE
28%
25%
46%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
ARB
0 - 3
GRE
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
STR
2 - 1
ARB
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
ARB
2 - 1
STI
30%
26%
45%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2004 |
BER
1 - 0
FOR
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
STI
0 - 1
BER
64%
20%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
ALL
2 - 2
BER
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
DUM
3 - 1
BER
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
BER
0 - 1
STI
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |