Erbil vs Al Zawraa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
ARB
1 - 2
WAS
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
ALB
0 - 0
ARB
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
KAR
0 - 1
ARB
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
ALN
3 - 1
ARB
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
ARB
2 - 0
BAG
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Al Zawraa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
ALZ
3 - 3
DIW
84%
12%
3%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ALH
1 - 2
ALZ
5%
22%
73%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
ALZ
1 - 1
NAF
71%
20%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
ALK
0 - 1
ALZ
18%
24%
59%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
ALZ
1 - 0
ALK
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |