Araz PFK vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
8º
8º
53
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 56 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 55 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
66.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
76.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
FKQ
2 - 0
ARA
40%
23%
37%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 1
ARA
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
FKQ
54%
22%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
SUM
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
QAR
3 - 1
ARA
46%
25%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
FKN
1 - 1
SUM
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 1
FKN
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 3
FKN
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FKN
3 - 1
FKQ
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SFK
0 - 0
FKN
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |