Aravaca vs Vicálvaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
ARA
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
MOR
51%
22%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ROB
1 - 2
ARA
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
ROB
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
EFC
0 - 1
ARA
20%
22%
59%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vicálvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 1
SHO
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 2
CDV
37%
24%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
3 - 1
SSR
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UZN
1 - 1
CDV
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
3 - 0
CPO
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |