Aravaca vs Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MEJ
2 - 2
ARA
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
ARA
0 - 2
CDF
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
NAV
4 - 0
ARA
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ARA
1 - 2
MAJ
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
RVB
4 - 2
ARA
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
FUE
1 - 2
RMC
45%
26%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
COL
1 - 4
FUE
20%
26%
55%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
FUE
0 - 1
SSR
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
LRZ
2 - 2
FUE
47%
27%
26%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
FUE
0 - 1
ATM
72%
19%
9%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |