Aravaca vs Coslada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
47.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
ARA
0 - 1
ARA
80%
14%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
ARA
3 - 2
NAV
26%
25%
49%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
RVB
2 - 1
ARA
70%
19%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
ARA
1 - 2
MAA
28%
26%
46%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 4
ARA
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Coslada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
COS
1 - 1
GET
67%
20%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
PEG
1 - 1
COS
34%
29%
37%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
COS
1 - 0
STA
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
PBO
1 - 1
COS
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
COS
0 - 1
MAJ
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |