Aravaca vs CDA Navalcarnero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 0
ARA
47%
26%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
PBO
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
POZ
0 - 0
ARA
63%
22%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
ADP
34%
25%
42%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 3
SFN
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CDA Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 0
ALC
47%
24%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATB
2 - 2
NAV
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 0
ALC
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RVB
1 - 2
NAV
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CVI
1 - 12
NAV
6%
15%
79%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |