Ararat vs Maardu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
84.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.8%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.5%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
-5
6.8%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NPM
3 - 0
FCA
9%
13%
78%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCE
28%
20%
52%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RAK
4 - 0
FCA
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 3
FCT
22%
19%
58%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
TJK
1 - 2
FCA
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
MAA
0 - 8
MAA
3%
6%
92%
|
68 | 15 | 53 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MAA
10 - 1
AJA
92%
6%
2%
|
68 | 15 | 53 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TKL
2 - 3
MAA
11%
16%
73%
|
68 | 25 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MAA
2 - 0
TIN
87%
9%
4%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MAA
0 - 3
FHT
92%
6%
2%
|
67 | 25 | 42 | 0 |