Ararat vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FCA
0 - 3
FCE
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
FCA
0 - 2
FCP
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
FLO
4 - 7
FCA
32%
23%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +3 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
JOK
4 - 6
FCA
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 3
JOK
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SKA
3 - 2
JKJ
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
JKJ
2 - 0
JOK
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MAA
0 - 2
JKJ
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
FLO
1 - 4
JKJ
42%
22%
35%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
JKJ
5 - 1
TJK
64%
19%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |