Estonia Third Division East / North Round 21

Ararat vs Ajax Lasnamäe analysis

Ararat Ajax Lasnamäe
31 ELO 23
22.2% Tilt 11.4%
28952º General ELO ranking 20896º
125º Country ELO ranking 113º
ELO win probability
72.4%
Ararat
14.6%
Draw
13.1%
Ajax Lasnamäe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
Ararat
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.6%
13.1%
Win probability
Ajax Lasnamäe
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ararat
-80%
-105%
Ajax Lasnamäe

ELO progression

Ararat
Ajax Lasnamäe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ararat
Ararat
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2019
MST
Maardu II
5 - 1
Ararat
FCA
69%
16%
15%
30 37 7 0
08 Sep. 2019
FCA
Ararat
2 - 3
Sillamäe Kalev
SIK
10%
16%
74%
31 50 19 -1
31 Aug. 2019
TMK
Tammeka III
3 - 1
Ararat
FCA
30%
21%
50%
34 28 6 -3
25 Aug. 2019
FCA
Ararat
5 - 2
Jõgeva Wolves
JWO
87%
8%
5%
34 21 13 0
18 Aug. 2019
KJK
JK Järve II
2 - 5
Ararat
FCA
25%
20%
55%
33 25 8 +1

Matches

Ajax Lasnamäe
Ajax Lasnamäe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2019
AJA
Ajax Lasnamäe
1 - 6
TJK Legion II
TJK
27%
20%
54%
27 38 11 0
07 Sep. 2019
TIN
FCI Tallinn
3 - 0
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
89%
8%
3%
26 61 35 +1
31 Aug. 2019
AJA
Ajax Lasnamäe
7 - 1
Tartu FC Santos
TFS
17%
17%
66%
22 38 16 +4
25 Aug. 2019
JKN
Trans II
10 - 4
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
88%
8%
4%
22 48 26 0
18 Aug. 2019
PTJ
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta II
4 - 3
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
71%
15%
14%
23 32 9 -1